Journal of Futures Studies

Utility and Drawbacks of Scenario Planning in Taiwan and China

by Jui-Kuei Chen

Introduction

“Scenario planning” has contributions to discover potential problems and to draw pictures regarding possible futures. I’ve learned this from teaching experiences during the past of 28 years, in serving as a faculty member, and of 18 years serving as a consultant and a trainer in over 1500 cross national, large-sized, and small and medium-sized companies in Taiwan and China. Whenever a discussion or a speech related to future trends and future strategies, classes in my university and companies alike, I try and use “Scenario planning”. However, I can’t confirm that all of such activities are successful though in my normal life experience I find it works. As well, I have found it has drawbacks and limitations sometimes. (continue…)

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084