Journal of Futures Studies

Research and Action toward the Upside of Down

by Oliver Markley

Introduction

Understanding that new times require new ways of thinking, this essay is addressed to “thought leaders” in various fields, but especially futures research, citizen activism, and the new types of social networking media. It is both methodological and substantive, introducing a new typology of disruptive surprises (“wild cards”); and focusing on one in particular believed to have high probability of occurrence, but low credibility for most observers–the emergence of a new historical era, initially involving a systemic downturn toward societal disorder, disintegration and perhaps even collapse, before some type of reformation and/or restructuring.(continue…)

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084