Journal of Futures Studies

Response to the Marien-Halal Debate

by Jim Dator

Introduction

Concerning the debate between Michael Marien and Bill Halal, I am absolutely convinced that the future will be very good, if we assess it honestly and prepare for it fully. Of course, no responsible futurist should believe that she can “predict” the future. I certainly do not believe I can. I have insisted for almost forty years on viewing the futures as always exhibiting four generic alternative futures–Continued (Economic) Growth, Collapse (from one or many reasons), Discipline (to prevent collapse and/or fulfill values other than those of economic growth), and Transformation (usually of either a high tech or a high spirit variety).(continue…)

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084