Journal of Futures Studies

Coping with Policy in Foresight

by M.B.A. van Asselt, S.A. van’t Klooster & S.A. Veenman

ABSTRACT

Governments are in need of anticipating systems changes to reduce risks and stimulate desired developments. Although policy-oriented foresight proves to be helpful and increasingly important for governments stimulate a forward-looking attitude, there is little reflection on how do futurists deal with policy in policy-oriented foresight. The text books state that future policy should not be included in the scenarios to allow policy-makers to “wind-tunnel” future policies. Based upon ethnographic analysis in the Netherlands and on a review of internationally developed scenarios, we examine futurists’ strategies and struggles with the policy-free ideal.

 

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084