An Analysis and Categorization of Scenario Planning Scholarship from 1995-2016

Abstract

This article presents an analysis and categorization of scenario planning scholarship over the last 20 years. The analysis reports the literature search criteria, followed by a general division of scenario planning scholarship into
theoretical / conceptual work and data-driven inquiry. The data-driven scholarship is further classified as case study, qualitative research or quantitative research. Generally, over half of the published refereed articles over the last 20 years have been theoretical / conceptual work. Further, of the data-driven research, the vast majority is case study in nature. Interpretations of these results are provided, as well as suggestions for advancing scenario planning scholarship in the future.

Keywords: Scenario planning, Scholarship, Scenario planning research.

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