Journal of Futures Studies

Technology Futures

Using Scenario-based Business Modelling to Explore the 5G Telecommunication Market 

October 31st, 2017  |  by  |  published in Corporate and Managerial Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Using Scenario-based Business Modelling to Explore the 5G Telecommunication Market 

Abstract Innovative technologies often alter established value chains and make traditional strategic planning methods inadequate. In this paper, we present the use of scenario-based business modelling to explore the market for the fifth generation mobile communication networks (5G). We discuss four scenarios that have been developed in a collaborative effort among different actors in the […]

Forecasts of AI and Future Jobs in 2030: Muddling Through Likely, with Two Alternative Scenarios

January 17th, 2017  |  by  |  published in Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Forecasts of AI and Future Jobs in 2030: Muddling Through Likely, with Two Alternative Scenarios

Takeaways • Advance of AI likely to accelerate automation and displace routine work. • Experts estimate the world is likely to muddle through the threat of massive unemployment. • Variation in results also suggest alternative scenarios of “growth” and “crisis.” View PDF

Applying CLA to Technology Planning Old “American West Style” Web Homesteading — Exploring Metaphoric Allegories to Enrich Four Internet Sustainability Scenarios

June 27th, 2016  |  by  |  published in Technology Futures | Comments Off on Applying CLA to Technology Planning Old “American West Style” Web Homesteading — Exploring Metaphoric Allegories to Enrich Four Internet Sustainability Scenarios

Abstract This essay examines four possible trajectories for global internet growth through the macrolens of an old American West metaphor. The essay attempts to postulate four possible alternative futures. Sustained growth of the internet is not a given and may depend heavily upon outside factors that involve a rich blending of social, technological, and regulatory, […]

They are Wrong: The Work Does Not End an Essay

April 20th, 2016  |  by  |  published in Gender Futures, Political and Policy Foresight, Technology Futures | Comments Off on They are Wrong: The Work Does Not End an Essay

By Vuokko Jarva The ‘end of work’ discussion (e.g., Adam Schaff, 1985; Jeremy Rifkin, 1995) has been concentrated on the narrow ‘paid job’ concept of work. Even futures researchers too often take this narrow concept as self-evident, so they follow job forecasts meticulously. Keeping people disposable is, however, a core value of the monetized profit economy. Automation has gotten […]

Scenario Analyses of the Futures of Journalism Profession*

December 30th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Media, Communications and Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Leave A Comment »

by Jari Kaivo-oja ABSTRACT The futures of journalism as a profession are analysed from various theoretical perspectives. The first scenario analysis focuses on the tools and methods of journalism and on the substance of journalism. In the second scenario analysis, the driving role of digital ICT technology and learning processes of journalists are analysed in relation […]

Impact of ICT Based Education on the Information Society

October 24th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Education Futures, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Leave A Comment »

by László Duma&Eszter Monda ABSTRACT In the last ten years the continuous growth of internet penetration and the wider palette for spreading ICT tools have changed the availability and quantity of information, communications methods and the learning processes. ICT tools are already extensively used in education and we have reached the turning point when, after the […]

Communicating Power: Technological Innovation and Social Change in the Past, Present, and Futures

June 24th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Media, Communications and Foresight, Political and Policy Foresight, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Communicating Power: Technological Innovation and Social Change in the Past, Present, and Futures

by Jim Dator, John A. Sweeney, Aubrey Yee & Aaron Rosa Introduction This is the final report for a research prospectus submitted in May 2011 by Jim Dator,  John A. Sweeney, and Aubrey Yee in response to a call for proposals on “Technology,  Innovation, and Society” (hereafter TIS) from the Office of the Vice Chancellor for  Graduate Research at […]

The Futures of Power in the Network Era

June 24th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Political and Policy Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Comments Off on The Futures of Power in the Network Era

by José M. Ramos ABSTRACT This article asks questions about the futures of power in the network era. Two critical emerging  issues are at work with uncertain outcomes. The first is the emergence of the collaborative economy,  while the second is the emergence of surveillance capabilities from both civic, state and commercial  sources. While both of […]

Dator’s 2nd Law of South Park: Imagining (poorly animated) Futures of Religion, Technology, & Culture

March 24th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Art and Design, Research in Progress, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Dator’s 2nd Law of South Park: Imagining (poorly animated) Futures of Religion, Technology, & Culture

by John A. Sweeney Introduction If one looks past the inflammatory language, adolescent humor, and rather poor animation, South Park is one of, if not, the most profoundly political shows on American television. Airing since 1997, Comedy Central’s popular program is known for its fiery satirization of the here and now, but it also serves as […]

Dator’s 2nd Law of South Park: Imagining (poorly animated) Futures of Religion, Technology, & Culture

March 24th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Art and Design, Research in Progress, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Dator’s 2nd Law of South Park: Imagining (poorly animated) Futures of Religion, Technology, & Culture

by John A. Sweeney Introduction If one looks past the inflammatory language, adolescent humor, and rather poor animation, South Park is one of, if not, the most profoundly political shows on American television. Airing since 1997, Comedy Central’s popular program is known for its fiery satirization of the here and now, but it also serves as […]


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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084