Journal of Futures Studies

Ecological and Environmental Foresight

Human Microevolution in Outer Space

June 27th, 2016  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Evolutionary and Complexity Perspectives | Comments Off on Human Microevolution in Outer Space

Abstract This article will argue that future outer space flight may cause micro-evolutionary changes to the human body, and will explain the nature of these changes from the point of view of evolutionary medicine. Initial adaptation will be protracted with considerable problems to long term outer space flight, especially inter-generational outer space travellers. The authors […]

Education for Sustainable Development – Learning for Transformation. The Example of Germany

March 30th, 2016  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Education Futures | Comments Off on Education for Sustainable Development – Learning for Transformation. The Example of Germany

By Sascha Dannenberg and Theresa Grapentin Abstract This paper addresses education as the central element of sustainable development. In the last decades several international commissions and organizations agreed on the importance of Education for Sustainable Development (ESD), resulting in the proclamation of the Decade of Education for Sustainable Development (2005-2014) by the United Nations in 2004. Mainly based on the experiences […]

Impact Assessment and Science Fiction: Complementary Ways to Ask “What happens if…?” and the Delineation of a New Sub-genre

December 25th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Futures Studies Methodologies | Comments Off on Impact Assessment and Science Fiction: Complementary Ways to Ask “What happens if…?” and the Delineation of a New Sub-genre

by Ruth-Ellen L. Miller Introduction When US federal and state governments began to require environmental impact studies and technology assessments for new projects in the early 1970s, Futures Studies (FS) was the methodology of choice. Within a few years, though, criticisms of the impact assessments (IA) abounded and much of IA was considered ineffective. During the same period, science fiction […]

Asynchronous Online Foresight Panels: The Case of Wildfire Management

June 19th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Futures Studies Methodologies | Comments Off on Asynchronous Online Foresight Panels: The Case of Wildfire Management

by David N. Bengston and Robert L. Olson Abstract Text-based asynchronous online conferencing involves structured online discussion and deliberation among multiple participants from multiple sites in which there is a delay in interaction between contributors. This method has been widely used for a variety of purposes in higher education and other settings, but has not been commonly […]

Healing Ourselves and Healing the World: Consumerism and the Culture of Addiction

March 14th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Critical and Epistemological Foresight, Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Ethics, Futures and the Commons | Comments Off on Healing Ourselves and Healing the World: Consumerism and the Culture of Addiction

by Duncan M. Taylor & David Segal For many people the meaning of their lives is derived through consumerism. Hence, any shift from a consumer to a conserver society is often met with both resistance as well as denial. However, as subsystems of the larger social and biophysical systems we are progressively being forced to change the way […]

Bangkok Flood Risk Management: Application of Foresight Methodology for Scenario and Policy Development

January 6th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Health Futures, Political and Policy Foresight | Comments Off on Bangkok Flood Risk Management: Application of Foresight Methodology for Scenario and Policy Development

by Sreeja Nair, Wong Kai Wen & Chow Mei Ling Abstract Between end 2011 and early 2012, Bangkok was hit by massive flooding due to intense rainfall which together with high tides overwhelmed the poor drainage infrastructure of the low-lying city. The floods impacted not just local residents and businesses, but also disrupted the local operations […]

The Next 20 Years: A Time of Transformation

January 5th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Ethics, Futures and the Commons, Macrohistory and Epochal Change Perspectives | Comments Off on The Next 20 Years: A Time of Transformation

by Graeme Taylor Introduction Optimists point out that every year humanity becomes better educated, wealthier and more interconnected (Havelock, 2011): the Gates Foundation predicts that if current trends continue there will be almost no poor countries by 2035 (Withnall, 2014). In contrast, more pessimistic analysts warn that business as usual is unsustainable: catastrophic climate change and […]

Viability: A Priority Criterion for the Mitigation of Climate Change and other Complex Socio-Ecological Issues

September 25th, 2014  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Viability: A Priority Criterion for the Mitigation of Climate Change and other Complex Socio-Ecological Issues

by Graeme Taylor ABSTRACT At present many researchers are exploring ways to improve the resilience of the global system, prevent catastrophic failure, and support the transition to a sustainable global system. This paper makes two interlinked proposals for developing better—and more credible—tools for modeling critical global issues and identifying and managing threats. First, proven risk […]

Climate Change and Futures Epistemologies: Tensions, Trends and Possibilities in Climate Discourses Epitomised by Three Prominent Climate Experts

March 24th, 2013  |  by  |  published in Critical and Epistemological Foresight, Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Social Movements and Visions | Comments Off on Climate Change and Futures Epistemologies: Tensions, Trends and Possibilities in Climate Discourses Epitomised by Three Prominent Climate Experts

by Stephen McGrail ABSTRACT In the early-to-mid 2000s climate change became the preeminent sustainability issue, as climate scientists and modellers spoke authoritatively on long-term futures. More recently social responses to climate change have become more muted. This narrative-based inquiry presents a description and examination of the experiences and research programs of three prominent climate experts – […]

Climate Change and Hydro-conflicts The Storylines of Sudr Scenarios: A Platform for Adaptation

December 24th, 2012  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Social and Community Development Foresight | Comments Off on Climate Change and Hydro-conflicts The Storylines of Sudr Scenarios: A Platform for Adaptation

by Mohamed Tawfic Ahmed, Mohamed A Osman, Naglaa Loutfy & Mahmoud Farag Mahmoud ABSTRACT Ras Sudr, located on the Gulf of Suez, South Sinai, is a typical arid area inhabited mostly by Bedouin, a special group of Egyptians with specific ethnic characters and traditions. Ras Sudr is one of the vulnerable areas of Egypt to climatic externalities, including drought […]


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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084