Journal of Futures Studies

Futures Studies Methodologies

Bewextra: Creating and Inferring Explicit Knowledge of Needs in Organizations

June 27th, 2016  |  by  |  published in Futures Studies Methodologies, Holisms and Integrative Theories, Participatory and Network Foresight | Comments Off on Bewextra: Creating and Inferring Explicit Knowledge of Needs in Organizations

Abstract We introduce a new methodological framework, called Bewextra, for the creation of the knowledge of needs in organizations. The development of our framework builds on theoretical engagement with literature from several disciplines including visioning and philosophy of needs as well as empirical data from vision development processes we have accompanied. To the best of […]

Impact Assessment and Science Fiction: Complementary Ways to Ask “What happens if…?” and the Delineation of a New Sub-genre

December 25th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Futures Studies Methodologies | Comments Off on Impact Assessment and Science Fiction: Complementary Ways to Ask “What happens if…?” and the Delineation of a New Sub-genre

by Ruth-Ellen L. Miller Introduction When US federal and state governments began to require environmental impact studies and technology assessments for new projects in the early 1970s, Futures Studies (FS) was the methodology of choice. Within a few years, though, criticisms of the impact assessments (IA) abounded and much of IA was considered ineffective. During the same period, science fiction […]

Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition

December 25th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Futures Studies Methodologies, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition

by Toni Ahlqvist  & Tuomo Uotila & Olli Hietanen Abstract In the paper we analyse the notion of ‘black swan’ as popularised by Taleb (2007). We propose that in the context of the futures’ imagination, a black swan can be defined as hybrid that integrates local knowledge with multiple temporal scales, combining past, present and future tenses. As empirical material, we analyse […]

A Foresight Analysis of Pervasive Healthcare Technologies

September 21st, 2015  |  by  |  published in Futures Studies Methodologies, Health Futures | Comments Off on A Foresight Analysis of Pervasive Healthcare Technologies

by Thomas Gauthier & Katarzyna Wac Abstract Inevitably, healthcare goes pervasive, yet its many potential future scenarios are still to be defined. We employ foresight techniques to define some of these scenarios, as relevant for the current and future state of healthcare in Geneva, Switzerland. We teach the methodology to undergraduate business administration students – potential […]

Asynchronous Online Foresight Panels: The Case of Wildfire Management

June 19th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Futures Studies Methodologies | Comments Off on Asynchronous Online Foresight Panels: The Case of Wildfire Management

by David N. Bengston and Robert L. Olson Abstract Text-based asynchronous online conferencing involves structured online discussion and deliberation among multiple participants from multiple sites in which there is a delay in interaction between contributors. This method has been widely used for a variety of purposes in higher education and other settings, but has not been commonly […]

Using Systems Thinking to Create more Impactful Social Policy

January 5th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Critical and Epistemological Foresight, Futures Studies Methodologies, Health Futures, Political and Policy Foresight | Comments Off on Using Systems Thinking to Create more Impactful Social Policy

by Julia Canty-Waldron Abstract This article proposes that “systems thinking” offers a way of (a) diagnosing the potential effectiveness of social policy and (b) of creating more impactful social policy. In particular, Donella Meadows’ “twelve places to intervene” (Meadows 1999) have been used as the basis of creating a tool to this end. Meadows’ 12 places […]

Projecting Mozambique’s Demographic Futures

January 5th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Futures Studies Methodologies, Modeling, Simulation and Gaming, Political and Policy Foresight, Sociology and Social Change Perspectives | Comments Off on Projecting Mozambique’s Demographic Futures

by Julia Zinkina & Andrey Korotayev Abstract The “medium” population projection series by the UN Population Division forecasts nearcatastrophic population increase for a whole number of Tropical African countries, especially East African ones. However, the projections for Mozambique, appearing somewhat less ominous than those for the neighboring Zambia, Tanzania, and Malawi, do not account for the recent […]

Anticipatory Governance: Traditions and Trajectories for Strategic Design

September 25th, 2014  |  by  |  published in Action Research and Organizational Learning, Futures Studies Methodologies, Participatory and Network Foresight, Political and Policy Foresight | Comments Off on Anticipatory Governance: Traditions and Trajectories for Strategic Design

by Jose M. Ramos ABSTRACT Over the course of the last half century, a number of practices were developed that connect foresight with governance. From the early development of technological forecasting and anticipatory democracy, to municipal and regional (local) approaches and futures commissions, to the more recent development of transition management, integrated governmental foresight, and […]

The Challenges of Living Scenarios for Australia in 2050*

April 23rd, 2014  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Futures Studies Methodologies, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Leave A Comment »

by Kristin Alford , Steven Cork , John Finnigan , Nicky Grigg , Beth Fulton & Michael Raupauch ABSTRACT The Australian Academy of Sciences began Australia 2050: Living Scenarios to explore how science might inform a more environmentally sustainable and socially equitable Australia. We concluded that a set of ‘living scenarios’ could support a richer national […]

Postcards as Doorways

April 23rd, 2014  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Futures Studies Methodologies, Narrative Foresight | Leave A Comment »

by Andrew Curry & Victoria Ward Introduction This essay is about the use of a particular type of found or constructed object – the postcard – as a device to enable dialogue in groups that allows participants to connect together past, present and futures, to build new stories about the future, and to put themselves in the […]


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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084