Journal of Futures Studies

Global Foresight

The Complex Futures of Emerging Technologies: Challenges and Opportunities for Science Foresight and Governance in Australia

June 25th, 2012  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Innovation, Service Design and Enterprise, Sociology and Social Change Perspectives, Technology Futures | Comments Off on The Complex Futures of Emerging Technologies: Challenges and Opportunities for Science Foresight and Governance in Australia

by Kristin Alford, Sarah Keenihan & Stephen McGrail ABSTRACT This paper outlines trends in the development of high-profile new technologies such as nano- and bio-technology, identifying roles foresight and governance practices must play to enable their usage in addressing ‘wicked’ problems (e.g. climate change). We explain the notion of emerging technologies, and their expected convergences, and consider both […]

Moving Ahead on the Global Megacrisis: Useful and Not So Useful Responses

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Moving Ahead on the Global Megacrisis: Useful and Not So Useful Responses

by William Halal Introduction I am deeply grateful for the thoughtful responses to this symposium on our Global Megacrisis study, and also to Jose Ramos and Michael Marien for providing fine analyses of these 13 responses. In the interest of moving ahead on this crucial line of research, I hope to integrate the useful comments into […]

The Megacrisis and the New Master Paradigm: Toward Shared Understanding

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on The Megacrisis and the New Master Paradigm: Toward Shared Understanding

by Michael Marien Introduction I wish to thank Jose Ramos for agreeing to embark on this exercise, and I completely agree with his comment, once underway, that “futurists are more difficult to herd than cats.” And I would like to thank the 13 responders for their efforts, some thought-full, and some not fully thought out, in […]

Which Global Prospect to Bet on: Rosy or Gloomy

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Which Global Prospect to Bet on: Rosy or Gloomy

by Vahid V. Motlagh Introduction The prophets of doom have overlooked the all-important factor that is certain: Human potential is far from exhausted”, so says the Oracle of Omaha (Buffett, 2011). A reasonable metaphor to perceive the nature of upcoming developments is the cycle of seasons. This implies that in the Halal-Marien (2011) debate the probabilities […]

Creating Futures Movement One Step at a Time

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Creating Futures Movement One Step at a Time

by Kuo-Hua Chen Introduction The disastrous consequences of the global megacrisis we are very likely facing in the coming years were caused mostly by human activities over many years of development. Resolving it will require a deeper and wider transformation of our value systems, rather than a quick fix. Such a transformational change may require the […]

Global Megacrisis and Response: A Perspective from India

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Leadership and Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Global Megacrisis and Response: A Perspective from India

by Rakesh Kapoor Introduction The four scenarios on the pessimist-optimist axis presented by William Halal and Michael Marien are helpful constructs to envision the future of global reality in the medium term. The contrasting assessments of Halal and Marien give us a good sense of the wide range of opinion on how the world will look […]

Towards Four point Nine

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Towards Four point Nine

by Marcus Barber Introduction Using a pessimism/optimism scale for assessing the future poses a challenge when considering the future of the species homo sapiens sapien (the one who knows they know). In being asked to make a selection of probability of any of the four scenarios we must, be default, assign the same outcome for one […]

Manifesting Upside Recovery Instead of Downside Fear: Five Ways Megacrisis Anticipation Can Proactively Improve Futures Research and Social Policy

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Action Research and Organizational Learning, Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Global Foresight, Intuitive, Transpersonal and Visionary Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Manifesting Upside Recovery Instead of Downside Fear: Five Ways Megacrisis Anticipation Can Proactively Improve Futures Research and Social Policy

by Oliver Markley Introduction By focusing on the possibility that society may be headed for a “mega-crisis,” Bill Halal and Michael Marien have opened up a very important line of inquiry. The purpose of this brief essay is to advance the further evolution of this debate, as well as the systemic improvement of futures research and […]

Towards Planetary Consciousness?

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Psychology, Consciousness and the Future | Comments Off on Towards Planetary Consciousness?

by Vuokko Jarva Introduction The idea of global crisis as a temporal telescoping of unfavorable events has come into favor at least since the 1973 oil crisis. Fritjof Capra (1982) diagnosed the multidimensional character of the crisis as a Turning point. In Halal’s and Marien’s analysis the crisis also is multidimensional, caused by influences from the […]

Responding to the Global Megacrisis

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Critical and Epistemological Foresight, Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Responding to the Global Megacrisis

by Richard A. Slaughter Introduction In a pluralistic world there’s no single way to understand or describe the global megacrisis (GMC). That said, there are more and less productive ways of attempting to do so. Shopping lists of symptoms may be useful to the extent that they identify areas of concern and forewarn that various actions […]


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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084