Journal of Futures Studies

Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation

Responding to the Millennium Project’s Energy Challenge: A Futurist’s Perspective

June 25th, 2012  |  by  |  published in Critical and Epistemological Foresight, Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Energy Futures, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Responding to the Millennium Project’s Energy Challenge: A Futurist’s Perspective

by Joshua Floyd ABSTRACT The Millennium Project poses the question “How can growing energy demand be met safely and efficiently?” From a perspective grounded in critical and epistemological futures inquiry, this subsumes three further questions: 1) what is the nature of our changing energy demand; 2) what might it mean to meet this ‘safely’; and 3) […]

International Affairs in the New Millennium: A Futures Perspective

March 25th, 2012  |  by  |  published in Critical and Epistemological Foresight, Narrative Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Social and Community Development Foresight | Comments Off on International Affairs in the New Millennium: A Futures Perspective

by Sesh Velamoor Introduction “The planet has enough to meet every human’s needs but not for every human’s greed”. M. K. Gandhi. Mistaken and foolish notions about “saving” the planet have become the central focus of global efforts, whereas what is urgently needed is focus on humans “saving” themselves from extinction. The planet has been around […]

Moving Ahead on the Global Megacrisis: Useful and Not So Useful Responses

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Moving Ahead on the Global Megacrisis: Useful and Not So Useful Responses

by William Halal Introduction I am deeply grateful for the thoughtful responses to this symposium on our Global Megacrisis study, and also to Jose Ramos and Michael Marien for providing fine analyses of these 13 responses. In the interest of moving ahead on this crucial line of research, I hope to integrate the useful comments into […]

The Megacrisis and the New Master Paradigm: Toward Shared Understanding

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on The Megacrisis and the New Master Paradigm: Toward Shared Understanding

by Michael Marien Introduction I wish to thank Jose Ramos for agreeing to embark on this exercise, and I completely agree with his comment, once underway, that “futurists are more difficult to herd than cats.” And I would like to thank the 13 responders for their efforts, some thought-full, and some not fully thought out, in […]

Apocalyptic Fears Have no Basis in Fact. We Are on Our Way up, Not down

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Apocalyptic Fears Have no Basis in Fact. We Are on Our Way up, Not down

by Ronald G. Havelock Introduction First, allow me to comment on a line in the preamble to this invitation. It reads, “Until the past decade or so, progress was widely assumed.” I would ask, assumed by whom? Progress, variously defined, has been assumed by some, but certainly not by the great majority. Intellectuals, in particular, including […]

Which Global Prospect to Bet on: Rosy or Gloomy

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Which Global Prospect to Bet on: Rosy or Gloomy

by Vahid V. Motlagh Introduction The prophets of doom have overlooked the all-important factor that is certain: Human potential is far from exhausted”, so says the Oracle of Omaha (Buffett, 2011). A reasonable metaphor to perceive the nature of upcoming developments is the cycle of seasons. This implies that in the Halal-Marien (2011) debate the probabilities […]

Learning from Japan: Megacrisis

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Learning from Japan: Megacrisis

by Ryota Ono Introduction Self-fulfilling prophesy explains one truth about a prediction. If you keep paying attention to a certain condition of something in the future, the chance of its becoming true increases regardless of whether the condition is good or bad. Referring to the condition of the future, Bell states that the purpose of futures […]

Creating Futures Movement One Step at a Time

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Creating Futures Movement One Step at a Time

by Kuo-Hua Chen Introduction The disastrous consequences of the global megacrisis we are very likely facing in the coming years were caused mostly by human activities over many years of development. Resolving it will require a deeper and wider transformation of our value systems, rather than a quick fix. Such a transformational change may require the […]

Global Megacrisis and Response: A Perspective from India

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Leadership and Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Global Megacrisis and Response: A Perspective from India

by Rakesh Kapoor Introduction The four scenarios on the pessimist-optimist axis presented by William Halal and Michael Marien are helpful constructs to envision the future of global reality in the medium term. The contrasting assessments of Halal and Marien give us a good sense of the wide range of opinion on how the world will look […]

Towards Four point Nine

December 5th, 2011  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation | Comments Off on Towards Four point Nine

by Marcus Barber Introduction Using a pessimism/optimism scale for assessing the future poses a challenge when considering the future of the species homo sapiens sapien (the one who knows they know). In being asked to make a selection of probability of any of the four scenarios we must, be default, assign the same outcome for one […]


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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084