Journal of Futures Studies

Scenario Work and Alternative Futures

Year 2025: Two Scenarios for the Indian IT Industry

October 31st, 2017  |  by  |  published in Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Year 2025: Two Scenarios for the Indian IT Industry

Abstract The Indian IT industry has been an important pillar of the Indian economy for the last 2 decades. The IT sector has provided employment opportunities to millions, provided them with fairly high incomes in the context of the prevailing economic conditions in India, and has also been contributing handsomely to the country’s GDP. Successive […]

Using Scenario-based Business Modelling to Explore the 5G Telecommunication Market 

October 31st, 2017  |  by  |  published in Corporate and Managerial Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Using Scenario-based Business Modelling to Explore the 5G Telecommunication Market 

Abstract Innovative technologies often alter established value chains and make traditional strategic planning methods inadequate. In this paper, we present the use of scenario-based business modelling to explore the market for the fifth generation mobile communication networks (5G). We discuss four scenarios that have been developed in a collaborative effort among different actors in the […]

Forecasts of AI and Future Jobs in 2030: Muddling Through Likely, with Two Alternative Scenarios

January 17th, 2017  |  by  |  published in Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Technology Futures | Comments Off on Forecasts of AI and Future Jobs in 2030: Muddling Through Likely, with Two Alternative Scenarios

Takeaways • Advance of AI likely to accelerate automation and displace routine work. • Experts estimate the world is likely to muddle through the threat of massive unemployment. • Variation in results also suggest alternative scenarios of “growth” and “crisis.” View PDF

Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition

December 25th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Futures Studies Methodologies, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition

by Toni Ahlqvist  & Tuomo Uotila & Olli Hietanen Abstract In the paper we analyse the notion of ‘black swan’ as popularised by Taleb (2007). We propose that in the context of the futures’ imagination, a black swan can be defined as hybrid that integrates local knowledge with multiple temporal scales, combining past, present and future tenses. As empirical material, we analyse […]

Scenarios for Australia in 2050: A Synthesis and Proposed Survey

March 14th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Research in Progress, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Social and Community Development Foresight | Comments Off on Scenarios for Australia in 2050: A Synthesis and Proposed Survey

by Robert Costanza, Ida Kubiszewski, Steve Cork, Paul W. B. Atkins, Alexandra Bean, Alexis Diamond,  Nicola Grigg, Emily Korb, Jasmin Logg-Scarvell, Rajkumari Navis & Kimberley Patrick Abstract We reviewed a broad range of scenarios of the future developed for Australia and globally and developed a synthesis for Australia. Our four synthesis scenarios were structured around two axes: (1) individual vs. community orientation and (2) whether biophysical […]

Exploring the Future of Infant Feeding: Scenarios About the Future of Parenting, Infant Nutrition and Consumer Habits in The United States of America

March 14th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Gender Futures, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures, Social and Community Development Foresight, Social Movements and Visions | Comments Off on Exploring the Future of Infant Feeding: Scenarios About the Future of Parenting, Infant Nutrition and Consumer Habits in The United States of America

by Alexandra Whittington Abstract Four scenarios of infant feeding offer strategic insights about American culture and social patterns by generating implications for the future of the family, nutrition, consumers and gender roles. The study involves careful examination of two critical uncertainties about the future of infant feeding: the outcome of cultural tensions among American mothers, known […]

Towards the Creation of Wiser Futures: Sino-Africa Relations and Futures of African Development

January 6th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Cultural, Trans-Cultural and Civilizational Foresight, Intuitive, Transpersonal and Visionary Foresight, Leadership and Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Towards the Creation of Wiser Futures: Sino-Africa Relations and Futures of African Development

by Tim Kumpe & Kuo-Hua Chen Abstract Elaborating on previous wisdom discourse of futurist scholars, this paper identifies humility, flexibility, teachability, and morality as the major characteristics of wisdom. What sets wisdom as the highest form of knowledge apart from knowledge with human significance is that it is not only academically understood knowledge but also connotes […]

EUTOPIA 75+: Exploratory Futures Scenarios for Baby Boomers’ Preferred Living Spaces

January 5th, 2015  |  by  |  published in Case Studies, Health Futures, Participatory and Network Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on EUTOPIA 75+: Exploratory Futures Scenarios for Baby Boomers’ Preferred Living Spaces

by David L. Wright, Laurie Buys, Desley Vine, Bo Xia, Martin Skitmore, Robin Drogemuller, Rosemary Kennedy & Mei Li Abstract Australia is experiencing the global phenomenon of an ageing population with the baby boomer generation starting to reach retirement age in large numbers. As a result, there is a growing need for appropriate accommodation and this […]

Viability: A Priority Criterion for the Mitigation of Climate Change and other Complex Socio-Ecological Issues

September 25th, 2014  |  by  |  published in Ecological and Environmental Foresight, Global Foresight, Planetary Mega-crisis, Transition and Transformation, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on Viability: A Priority Criterion for the Mitigation of Climate Change and other Complex Socio-Ecological Issues

by Graeme Taylor ABSTRACT At present many researchers are exploring ways to improve the resilience of the global system, prevent catastrophic failure, and support the transition to a sustainable global system. This paper makes two interlinked proposals for developing better—and more credible—tools for modeling critical global issues and identifying and managing threats. First, proven risk […]

The Open Futures Library: One Step Toward a Global Foresight Commons

June 30th, 2014  |  by  |  published in Global Foresight, Participatory and Network Foresight, Scenario Work and Alternative Futures | Comments Off on The Open Futures Library: One Step Toward a Global Foresight Commons

by Gareth Priday, Tim Mansfield& José Ramos Introduction This report introduces the Open Futures Library, outlines our hopes for its future development and invites you to join us and help shape this community resource. The Open Futures Library can be found at http://openfutures.net, it is a free, publicly-contributed, indexed, searchable collection of future scenarios and other […]


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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084