Journal of Futures Studies

A New Look at the Cross-Impact Matrix and its Application in Futures Studies

by Kenneth Chao

ABSTRACT

In this paper, the author presents a new approach to cross-impact matrix analysis which combines the level of anticipated future impacts and their probability of occurrence, so that both are factors in the analysis. Its combined result will serve as a basis for evaluating the future development.

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084