Journal of Futures Studies

Scenarios: Process and Outcome

by Elina Hiltunen

Introduction

Graham Molitor s article : Scenarios: Worth the Effort? is a profound examination of scenarios and their use in businesses and organizations. Molitor has discussed in his article various aspects of scenario process from the philosophical level to the practical. Even though Molitor is skeptical about the usefulness of scenarios, I personally think that scenarios are valuable tools for futures thinking in organizations of many kinds. I see that scenarios are our humble way to look at the futures. By using the scenario technique, we admit that we do not know what is happening in the futures (which is so true!). We admit that we have to prepared for various situations when the time passes. In one sentence: scenarios help us to be flexible enough to cope with various situations in the future.

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
Tel: 886 2-2621-5656 ext. 3001
Fax: 886 2-2629-6440

ISSN 1027-6084