Global Megacrisis: A Survey of Four Scenarios on a Pessimism-Optimism Axis

by William Halal & Michael Marien


This symposium addresses the multiple threats of climate change, energy shortages, globalization, financial instability, and other critical issues we call the Global Megacrisis. A trend analysis is presented outlining these trends as well as other trends that may alleviate the Megacrisis. Results of a survey show that respondents estimate there is a 60% probability the world will either suffer a major Decline to Disaster or Muddling Down to severe problems. Responses from 13 invited scholars are included, as well as summary statements by the authors and the editor.

View PDF