By Sohail Inayatullah and Peter Black 這是「黑天鵝」嗎? 來自上海的「未來學家俱樂部」（Futurist Circle）發起人Louis（鄭科驥）提出這個想法，他認為，既然從未有人預測過 COVID-19 冠狀病毒的出現，那麼是否可算是個「黑天鵝」？[1] 我們的回答是否定的。主要是由於「黑天鵝」現象，是指涉一個無法預測，且完全出乎意料之事。這次的冠狀病毒，其實有跡可尋；它只是新興傳染病（EIDs）預測中的一個冠狀病毒，事實上，人們更應該開始為面對另一個冠狀病毒的出現作準備。 這個預測並非空穴來風，基於以下的5個論證，我們認為這是即將來臨的事實： 這項討論，從廿世紀末，在新興傳染病預防的文獻和探討中已有一定比例的增加趨勢(Morse, 1995)。…
Browsing: Sohail Inayatullah
View PDF Journal of Futures Studies, March 2020, 24(3): 97–104 From Idea to Reality: Universal…
By Sohail Inayatullah and Peter Black Our colleague Louis Zheng from the Shanghai FuturistCircle suggested…
By Fayaz Ahmed and Sohail Inayatullah Fayaz Ahmed: First of all, please tell us a…
By Sohail Inayatullah e Jaqueline Weigel O MÉTODO CLA INTEGRADO EM CENÁRIOS Um dos participantes…
By Sohail Inayatullah and Jaqueline Weigel THE CLA METHOD INTEGRATED INTO SCENARIOS One of the…
By Sohail Inayatullah Can Armenia leapfrog other nations instead of following the traditional development paradigm?…
By Sohail Inayatullah When tomorrow is just like today, boredom can result. We seek novelty.…
by Sohail Inayatullah At the summer retreat of the Ananda Marga movement in Australia,…
View PDF Journal of Futures Studies, June 2018, 22(4): 15–24 DOI:10.6531/JFS.201806.22(4).0002 Sohail Inayatullah UNESCO Chair…