Journal of Futures Studies

Scenarios Practices: In Search of Theory

by Angela Wilkinson

Introduction

Graham Molitor’s article provides a timely prompt for reflecting on the value of scenario practices, especially given several data sources indicating their usage has increased significantly since 2001 (e.g. Ramirez, Selsky, & van der Heijden, 2008, p.9). Molitor is not alone in his struggle to clarify the effectiveness of scenario practices. Others, including myself, are endeavouring to address similar questions: how to judge effectiveness and what do we mean by ‘effectiveness’ when referring to such practices? As he implicitly suggests, his critique does not imply that we should throw the scenario ‘baby out with the bathwater’.(continue…)

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Journal of Futures Studies

Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus
Taipei, Taiwan 251
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ISSN 1027-6084